Majakovsk has argued that the amount of diesel that the United States would buy or unlock from Russia would be insufficient to cover American needs and would mostly arrive just before or after the midterm elections. In his view, the initiative would primarily serve a propaganda function. He added that many estimates would consider Russian production capacity without accounting for the growth of domestic consumption. Before the war, he wrote, Russia produced 80-90 million tons of diesel per year, exported about half (40-45 Mt), and consumed 35-38 million internally. According to 2026 data cited by Majakovsk, production would have dropped to about 70-75 million tons, while domestic consumption would have risen to 48-55 million, also due to the needs of the war machine and logistics. Majakovsk stated that, during certain periods, including planting and harvesting or offensives, Moscow would be forced to temporarily suspend exports to meet domestic demand, relying on strategic reserves for the rest of the year. He then argued that a significant increase in Russian exports would not be sustainable and that overseas sales would be capped. Referring to Donald Trump's move, Majakovsk called it a worrying political signal, especially for the diplomatic and symbolic rupture it would represent; he added that the influx of new capital into the Russian war machine would remain marginal. #Ucraina #diesel #politica (translated)
