Pesquisas Eleições

Elections Research reported that, according to a survey by AtlasIntel commissioned by the newspaper A Tarde, Jerônimo (PT) had 51.5% of valid votes in the governor's race in Bahia, compared to 47.4% for ACM Neto (UB). Ariel Capistrano (DC) and Ronaldo Mansur (PSOL) were each at 0.4%, and Maria Bona (PCO) had 0.3%. The publication pointed out a 4.1-point difference between the top two and noted that in the previous round, they had 50.7% and 47.5%, respectively. For the Senate, the publication noted that Rui Costa (PT) had 27.3%, Jaques Wagner (PT) had 24.6%, Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) had 21.9%, and João Roma (PL) had 21.2%. Professor Delliana (PSOL) had 4.1%, and other names received 0.8%. According to Elections Research, the top four were separated by 6.1 percentage points. The publication emphasized that the difference between Jerônimo and ACM Neto should be considered in light of the margin of error of 2 percentage points. It reported that the survey interviewed 2,199 people between September 27 and October 2, 2026, had a confidence level of 95%, and registration number BA-05671/2026. #Bahia #Eleições2026 #Votação (translated)

The Elections Research published numbers from a Datafolha survey for the government of Ceará in which Elmano de Freitas (PT) appeared with 50% of valid votes, compared to 47% for Ciro Gomes (PSDB). Delegate Huggo (Mission), Vera Lúcia (New) and Zé Batista (PSTU) each had 1%. Compared to the previous numbers presented, Elmano rose by 2 points, Ciro dropped by 2, Huggo and Vera Lúcia remained unchanged, and Zé Batista advanced by 1 point. In total voting intention, Elmano recorded 46% (+3) and Ciro, 44% (stable). Delegate Huggo, Vera Lúcia, and Zé Batista each had 1%; blank, null, or none totaled 4% (-2), and undecided voters made up 3% (-2). The publication stated that the race was focused on the two main candidates and compared the data to a survey from September, in which Ciro was ahead by 44% to 43%. It also noted that the three-point difference between the leaders was not fully covered by the reported margin of error, which was ±2 points, and that formal interpretation depended on the specific margin and methodology of the survey. According to the published technical sheet, the survey was commissioned by O POVO and conducted on October 2 and 3, 2026, with 1,560 interviews, a margin of error of ±2 percentage points, a confidence level of 95%, and registrations with the TSE CE-09234/2026 and BR-06469/2026. #Eleições2026 #Ceará #Datafolha (translated)

The profile Pesquisas Eleições released data from the CNT/MDA survey, according to which 47.4% approved of President Lula and 49.2% disapproved; 3.4% did not know or did not respond. Compared to the previous survey, approval had risen by 1.5 points, while disapproval had decreased by 0.5 points, the profile reported. In the evaluation of the government, 35.3% considered it excellent or good, 41.1% bad or terrible, and 22.7% regular. Another 0.9% did not know or did not respond. The profile stated that evaluations of excellent or good had increased by 1.5 points and those of bad or terrible by 1.7 points, while the regular evaluation had dropped by 2.7 points. According to the technical note released, the survey was conducted by CNT/MDA from September 30 to October 2, 2026, with 2,002 interviews nationwide. The reported margin of error was ±2.2 percentage points, with a confidence level of 95%. The registration with the TSE was BR-04756/2026. #Lula #Aprovação #Governo (translated)

Research Elections reported that in a national survey by CNT/MDA on valid votes in the first round for president, Lula (PT) had 48.6% and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), 44.3%, a difference of 4.3 points. According to the publication, Flávio advanced 6.8 points and Lula receded 2.6. Augusto Cury (Avante) recorded 2.5%, Caiado (PSD), 2.4%, Renan Santos (Mission), 1.2%, Romeu Zema (Novo), 0.4%, and other candidates, 0.2%. The publication reported that the survey was conducted from September 30 to October 2, 2026, with 2,002 interviews, a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points, and a confidence level of 95%. The registration in the TSE was BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Votação #Presidencial (translated)

The Pesquisas Eleições account reported that in the CNT/MDA survey for the presidency nationwide, Lula (PT) had 43.1% of the voting intentions in the first round, compared to 38.0% for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). According to the publication, the difference was 5.1 percentage points. Lula advanced 2.6 points, while Flávio grew by 7.6 points. Writer Augusto Cury (Avante) appeared with 3.2%, followed by Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) with 3.0%, Renan Santos (Missão) with 1.5%, and Romeu Zema (Novo) with 0.8%. Others totaled 0.5%; blank and null votes accounted for 5.0%; and undecided voters were 4.7%. The publication reported that the survey interviewed 2,002 people between September 30 and October 2, 2026, with a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. The reported registration was BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Polls #Brasil (translated)

The Elections Research informed that, in the national CNT/MDA survey for president, Lula (PT) had 47.8% of valid votes and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), 42.1%, a difference of 5.7 points. According to the publication, Flávio advanced 7 points, while Lula oscillated positively by 1 point. Writer Augusto Cury (Avante) appeared with 3.5%, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) with 3.3%, Renan Santos (Missão) with 1.6%, Romeu Zema (Novo) with 0.8%, and other candidates totaled 0.5%. The publication indicated that the variations for Cury, Caiado, Santos, Zema, and others were, respectively, -3.3, -0.1, -1.4, -0.2, and -0.7 points. The technical sheet released reported that the survey was conducted from September 30 to October 2, 2026, with 2,002 interviews, a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points, and a confidence level of 95%. The registration was BR-04756/2026, and the coverage was national. #Eleições2026 #Brasil #Política (translated)

The new second-round simulation shows Lula with 48% against 45% of Flávio Bolsonaro. The difference is 3 points, keeping the two candidates separated by a narrow margin in the final stretch. With a margin of error of 2 percentage points, the survey records a scenario that is numerically very close. #Eleições2022 #Datafolha #Lula (translated)

🚨 Renan Santos reacts to Nunes Marques' decision and goes on the attack. After the minister denied his request to participate in the Globo debate, the candidate from Missão posted a video on social media in which he accuses Nunes Marques of involvement in the Banco Master case and states that the minister "should be in jail." Renan also questions the decision that allowed Romeu Zema to participate in the debate and relates it to the fact that Zema is, according to him, an ally of Flávio Bolsonaro. #RenanSantos #NunesMarques #Eleições2024 (translated)

The main change in Minas is Lula's advance: +4.6 points in the 1st round, while Flávio practically remains stable, oscillating -0.3 points. In the direct confrontation, however, the picture changes more clearly: Lula rises 4.5 points, while Flávio retreats 3.6 points. Zema appears with 4.3%, still far below the 9.8% recorded in the previous scenario reported? #Eleições2026 #MinasGerais #DadosPolíticos (translated)

Helder Barbalho atravessou o palco da Praça da República carregando a imagem de Nossa Senhora de Nazaré e, no fim do comício em Belém, entregou a santa nas mãos de Lula. A cena, registrada pela multidão na noite desta segunda-feira (28), mistura um dos símbolos religiosos mais fortes do Pará com a campanha eleitoral. O gesto acontece justamente após a polêmica envolvendo Flávio Bolsonaro e Nossa Senhora de Nazaré, dando ao momento uma dimensão política que certamente será observada nos próximos dias. #Política #Cultura #Eleições

📊 ATLAS/BLOOMBERG | NACIONAL | PRESIDENTE Flávio Bolsonaro cresce 4,3 pontos e reduz a distância para Lula no 1º turno. O petista marca 44,1%, contra 41,7% do senador. No 2º turno, Flávio aparece numericamente à frente: 47,2% a 46,8%. ✅ 1º TURNO 🔴 Lula (PT): 44,1% (+1,1) 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 41,7% (+4,3) 🟡 Renan Santos (Missão): 5,1% (-1,4) 🟢 Augusto Cury (Avante): 3,5% (-3,1) ⚪ Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 1,7% (+0,6) 🟠 Romeu Zema (Novo): 1,1% (-1,0) 🟣 Samara Martins (UP): 0,7% (-0,3) ⚫ Clariana Barão (DC): 0% (-0,3) ⬜ Branco/nulo: 1,6% (+1,0) ⬜ Não sabe: 0,5% (+0,1) ✅ 2º TURNO 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 47,2% (+0,8) 🔴 Lula (PT): 46,8% (+0,6) ⬜ Branco/nulo/não sabe: 6,0% (-1,4) ▶️ A principal mudança está no crescimento de Flávio no 1º turno, que reduz a diferença para Lula de 5,6 para 2,4 pontos. No confronto direto, os dois aparecem separados por apenas 0,4 ponto, dentro da margem de erro. 📋 FICHA TÉCNICA Instituto: AtlasIntel Contratante: Bloomberg Campo: 11 a 16 de setembro Amostra: 5.018 eleitores Metodologia: recrutamento digital aleatório (Atlas RDR) Margem de erro: 1 ponto percentual Confiança: 95% Registro TSE: consultar registro do levantamento #Eleições2024 #FlávioBolsonaro #Lula

📊 Pesquisa BTG Pactual/Nexus mostra Lula na liderança do 1º turno, com 42%, enquanto Flávio Bolsonaro aparece com 37%. Os dois avançaram em relação ao levantamento anterior, mas Lula cresceu três pontos contra dois de Flávio e abriu cinco pontos de vantagem. 🔴 Lula (PT): 42% (+3) 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 37% (+2) 🟠 Augusto Cury (Avante): 6% (−3) 🔵 Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 5% (+1) ⚫ Renan Santos (Missão): 2% (−2) ⚪ Zema (Novo): 1% (=) ⚫ Samara (UP): 1% (=) ⬜ Nenhum/branco/nulo: 4% (+1) ❔ NS/NR: 2% (=) 🗓️ Entrevistas: 11 a 13 de setembro 👥 Amostra: 2.000 entrevistados 📏 Margem de erro: 2 p.p. 🎯 Confiança: 95% 📋 Registro TSE: BR-04076/2026 #Eleições2026 #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro

A Folha revelou mensagens de 11/11/2022 entre Cláudio Castro e o ministro André Mendonça sobre o habeas corpus de Sérgio Cabral. Castro pediu urgência, enviou documentos. Mendonça descreveu o processo, disse que ligaria e mandou link do STF. Depois votou pela soltura (aprovada 3 a 2). Afirma que agiu só com base nos autos. Castro diz que o contato foi institucional. Diálogos vieram de interceptação da PF em operação contra Castro. #Justiça #HabeasCorpus #Política

O procurador-geral da República, Paulo Gonet, afirmou que Daniel Vorcaro teria recebido de Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) uma “promessa de apoio ou interferências” pouco antes de ser preso. A declaração adiciona um novo elemento à relação entre o banqueiro e o senador e amplia as dúvidas em torno do caso Master. #Política #Justiça #Corrupção

🚨Natuza Nery: Ala de Moraes no STF exige que os cinco ministros que tiveram contato com Vorcaro sejam investigados — incluindo André Mendonça O grupo defende que a apuração seja estendida aos cinco ministros que tiveram interação com o banqueiro, incluindo o próprio André Mendonça, #STF #investigação #Brasil

🚨 URGENTE: Nikolas Ferreira chama Vorcaro de "lindão" e pede ajuda com ativo de minério Em áudio enviado em março de 2025, o deputado Nikolas Ferreira pediu ajuda ao banqueiro Daniel Vorcaro para liberar um ativo minerário em nome de seu advogado e ex-assessor, Thiago Rodrigues de Faria, chamando o dono do Banco Master de "Dani" e "lindão" e dizendo querer "ter mais proximidade" com ele. Vorcaro respondeu "estamos na guerra juntos" e prometeu ajudar. Meses depois, Thiago Faria teve o nome ligado à Operação Rejeito, que investiga extração ilegal de minério de ferro em Nova Lima (MG), com um contrato que poderia render até US$ 45 milhões ao grupo. #Política #Mineração #Corrupção

📊 Pesquisa ATLASINTEL nacional para PRESIDENTE 🗓️25 a 30 de Agosto ✅1° TURNO 🔴Lula (PT): 43,4% (-1,5 ( 🔵Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 33,7% (-2,1) ⚪Augusto Cury (Avante): 7,8% (+6,2) ⚫Renan Santos (Missão): 7,6% (- 0,2) 🟤Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3,3% (+ 0,2) ⚫Pablo Marçal (PRTB): 1,9% 🔘Romeu Zema (Novo): 1% (- 1,8) 🟤Samara (UP): 0,9% (- 1,2 p.p) 🔴Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0,1% (+0,1) 🟡Wilson Grassi (Demo): 0,1% (+0,1) ⬛Não sabem: 0,2% (- 0,8) 🔲Brancos e nulos: 0,1% (- 0,5) #Eleições2023 #Brasil #Política

📊 Pesquisa NEXUS nacional para Presidente 🗓️28 a 30 de Agosto ✅1° TURNO 🔴 Lula (PT): 39% (-2) 🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 33% (-4) 🟣 Augusto Cury (AVANTE): 11% (+9) 🔵 Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 5% (=) 🟡 Renan Santos (MISSÃO): 3% https://t.co/W1dM3qzz6G #Pesquisa #Eleições2023 #Política

▶️ URGENTE: Novas mensagens mostram cinco contatos entre Flávio e Vorcaro em setembro de 2025 Novos registros revelados nesta terça-feira (18) apontam que Flávio Bolsonaro manteve ao menos cinco contatos telefônicos com Daniel Vorcaro, dono do Banco Master, somente em setembro de 2025. Segundo a reportagem, as conversas ocorreram no contexto das tratativas envolvendo recursos para o filme “Dark Horse”, sobre Jair Bolsonaro 🗞️Paulo Motoryn #Política #Brasil #Corrupção