Marcin Palade

Marcin Palade statistically wrote that the adjusted "thumping" fell within the range of 61–64%. He announced that he was waiting for tomorrow's attempt to cover the matter, and assessed that after today's — as he described it — amateur action, he did not expect it to succeed. #Łomot #Korekta #Próba (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically wrote that Kraków, the city of his great-grandmother Wanda, supported Gibała, who was supposed to receive 61% compared to Piątkowska's 39%. He compared this result to the second round in 2025 and stated that it was about ensuring that the winner was not associated with Donald Tusk. #Kraków #wybory2025 #polityka (translated)

Marcin Palade wrote that the centrist-left in power has found itself in a "clash with Minecraft" and assessed that it is losing the elections when almost everyone mocks it except its most loyal voters. According to the author, such a situation has already occurred. #Demokracja #Minecraft #Wybory (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically wrote that the Polish police received information about a possible attack on Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of National Defense Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz. He added that on that day a second round of presidential elections was taking place in Krakow, but did not indicate who would win. #Polska #wybory #bezpieczeństwo (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically wondered whether Russian oil would now be purchased through the USA, and whether Americans would take control of the non-Russian end of the Nord Stream through which gas flows. He compared this vision with ideas associated with Jerzy Giedroyc and Intermarium, and described domestic supporters of the Neo-Jagiellonian politics contemptuously as confused. He wrote that their concept had collapsed and ironically announced the triumph of realpolitik. #Polityka #Energetyka #Rosja (translated)

Marcin Palade stated statistically that in protest against the agreement between Trump and Putin regarding diesel, TV Republika suspended its broadcast, and the weekly "Gazeta Polska" was not to be published. He also mentioned that Clubs of Gazeta Polska announced a picket in front of the US embassy, and the PiS club was to submit a motion at the next session of the Sejm to delete from the transcript of the proceedings from November 2024 the fragment during which "Donald Trump" was chanted. #protest #Polska #Trump (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically cited a statement by Donald Trump, who reportedly informed about an "extremely successful conversation" with Vladimir Putin and the agreement for an immediate delivery of over 300,000 tons of diesel fuel to the American and world markets. Palade commented that Trump thus surprised the "patriots otherwise" on Friday. He added that those less inclined towards Russia than attached to Poland would not understand the upcoming changes and would express their opposition even more strongly, guided by a Giedroyc-like approach. #Polska #Rosja #Trump (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically wrote that 76% of the ratings regarding Donald Tusk were negative, while 62% of the opinions about Karol Nawrocki were positive. He pointed out that the data comes from Polityka w Sieci and pertains to the reactions to Tusk's attack on Nawrocki and the threat of censorship. He added that there will be "a beating" in Krakow on Sunday. #polityka #Tusk #Nawrocki (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically referred to a post by Republic TV, according to which Americans were interested in changing the prime minister in Poland. He wrote that if Berlin appointed the new prime minister, it would be considered a scandal, while if Washington did it, it would be seen as Poland's national interest. He was ironic about the camp that calls itself the only patriots and sovereignists. #Polska #Polityka #Suwerenność (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically wrote that it was previously assured of Poland's readiness, and Radosław Sikorski recently said that in six weeks the "Kremlin chimes" would belong to Poland. He compared these declarations with information about an error by the RCB, which caused text messages regarding the Russian attack on Ukraine to end up at the other end of the country. #Polska #Ukraina #wojna (translated)

Marcin Palade statistically referenced an IBRiS study from September 18-19, which asked opposition voters if they were concerned that Russia would militarily attack Poland in the coming years. He stated that 25% and 18% responded "yes," while 58% and 70% responded "no." He assessed that the cross-party "war party" found itself in deep defense, which he considered good for Poland. #Polska #Rosja #bezpieczeństwo (translated)

NATO currently does not see an immediate threat of a Russian attack on the territory of the Alliance, and serious preparations for an attack on Poland, Finland, or the Baltic states should be visible in advance. So, the 2027 elections on schedule? #NATO #Polska #Bezpieczeństwo (translated)

President @NawrockiKn signed the law implementing part of the EU Digital Services Act (DSA). We have another collision with the voters of the hard right from the second round of elections in 2025, whose share in the total pool to the right of the center in 2030 will be higher than it is now. #Polityka #Digitalizacja #Wybory2025 (translated)

Centroprawica zadowolona z I tury w Krakowie? Wolne żarty. W II turze wybór będzie między kandydatką @donaldtusk a byłym członkiem PO i Ruchu Palikota. Można było inaczej? Owszem. Jak? Przetestowanie centroprawicowego paktu krakowskiego, jako element docierania się na 2027 rok. #Kraków #Polityka #Centroprawica

Komisja Zgromadzenia Parlamentarnego Rady 🇪🇺 Europy chce, by państwa rozważyły przyznanie części cudzoziemców bez obywatelstwa prawa głosu i kandydowania w wyborach krajowych. Ktoś z Państwa zaskoczony? Skoro udało się w 🇸🇪 Szwecji to teraz pora na pozostałe kraje. #Polityka #Wybory #PrawaCzłowieka

Prezydent @NawrockiKn we wrześniowym rankingu, po raz pierwszy od kilku miesięcy, schodzi poniżej poziomu 50 proc. Tak jak przewidywałem. Odchodzą wyborcy twardej prawicy. Wczorajsze chwalenie się spotkaniem z szefem Palantir tylko utwierdzi ich w przekonaniu, że zrobili dobrze. #Polska #Polityka #wybory