BRPolls 🇧🇷

BRPolls reported that an AtlasIntel survey for the second round showed Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 51.1% of voter intentions, compared to 45.7% for Lula (PT). According to the publication, the percentages varied by 3.7 points upward for Bolsonaro and 1.7 points downward for Lula. Blank, null, or unknown responses totaled 3.2%, a decrease of 1 point. Considering only valid votes, the survey recorded 52.8% for Bolsonaro and 47.2% for Lula. BRPolls stated that the survey interviewed 5,026 people between October 3 and 8, had a margin of error of ±1 percentage point, and was registered with the TSE under code BR-03663/2026. #Eleições2026 #Votação #Brasil (translated)

BRPolls published data attributed to the latest Quaest survey, released on the eve of the election, regarding voting intentions in the second round among voters of other candidates. Among the voters of Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), 43% would choose Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), 19% Lula (PT), 36% would vote blank or null or would not show up, and 2% were undecided. Among the voters of Renan Santos (MISSÃO), the percentages were 60% for Flávio Bolsonaro, 11% for Lula, 27% for blank, null, or absence, and 2% undecided. For the voters of Augusto Cury (AVANTE), it was 34%, 23%, 41%, and 2%, respectively. Among those of Romeu Zema (NOVO), 68% would choose Flávio Bolsonaro and 32% would vote blank or null or would not show up; there were no undecided voters. The publication reported that the survey was conducted on October 2 and 3, with 3,702 voters, and recorded the number BR-02197/2026. #Eleições2026 #PesquisaQuoest #Votação (translated)

BRPolls reported that a survey by Paraná Pesquisas on the voting intentions for the first round of the Presidency of the Republic in Tocantins showed Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 45.7% of the intentions in the stimulated scenario, followed by Lula (PT) with 37.2%. Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) had 4.7%, Augusto Cury (Avante) 3.7%, Renan Santos (Missão) 2.3%, Romeu Zema (NOVO) 0.3%, Samara Martins (UP) 0.3%, Clariana Barão (DC) 0.1%, and Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) 0.1%. None, white or null votes accounted for 3.1%, and 2.4% did not know or did not answer. According to BRPolls, compared to the survey conducted between September 12 and 14, Flávio Bolsonaro advanced 6.4 percentage points, from 39.3% to 45.7%, and Lula rose 2.5 points, from 34.7% to 37.2%. In the spontaneous survey, Flávio Bolsonaro recorded 39.4% and Lula 32.2%. Caiado had 3.3%, Cury 2.5%, Santos 1.5%, Zema 0.3%, and Martins 0.1%. None, white or null votes totaled 5.3%, while 15.4% did not know or did not answer. BRPolls stated that the survey interviewed 1,504 voters between September 29 and October 1, had a margin of error of ±2.6 percentage points, and was commissioned by FIETO. The reported registration was BR-02312/2026. #Eleições2024 #Votação #PesquisaDeIntençãoDeVoto (translated)

BRPolls released a national survey of voting intention for the first round of the presidency, conducted by PoderData/AYA. In the total of votes, Lula (PT) appeared with 42%, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 41%, Augusto Cury (Avante) with 3%, Renan Santos (Missão) with 3%, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) with 2%, Romeu Zema (NOVO) with 1%, and Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) with 1%. Blank or null votes accounted for 4%, and 2% did not know who to vote for. In comparison with the survey from September 20 to 23, Lula advanced by 1 percentage point, from 41% to 42%, and Flávio Bolsonaro rose by 2 points, from 39% to 41%. BRPolls reported that the margin of error was ±1.5 percentage points and that the two were in a statistical tie in the first-round scenario. Considering only valid votes, Lula had 45%, Flávio Bolsonaro 43%, Augusto Cury 4%, Renan Santos 3%, Ronaldo Caiado 3%, Romeu Zema 1%, Samara Martins (UP) 1%, and Rui Costa Pimenta 1%. According to BRPolls, the survey interviewed 4,000 voters through telephone interviews, between September 30 and October 2, with a margin of error of ±1.5 percentage points. The reported registration was BR-03519/2026. (translated)

🗳️ NEXUS/BTG: No 2° turno, Flávio Bolsonaro tem 46% das intenções de voto; Lula (PT), 45%. Augusto Cury (Avante) também lidera numericamente contra o petista. ▶️ Cenário 1 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 46% (+1) 🔴 Lula (PT): 45% (-1) ⚪️ Nenhum/Branco/Nulo: 8% (=) ❓ NS/NR: 1% (=) ▶️ Cenário 2 🟤 Augusto Cury (Avante): 45% 🔴 Lula (PT): 43% ⚪️ Nenhum/Branco/Nulo: 10% ❓ NS/NR: 1% ▶️ Cenário 3 🔴 Lula (PT): 46% (+1) 🟢 Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 43% (-1) ⚪️ Nenhum/Branco/Nulo: 10% (=) ❓ NS/NR: 1% (=) ▶️ Cenário 4 🔴 Lula (PT): 47% (+1) 🟠 Romeu Zema (NOVO): 40% (-1) ⚪️ Nenhum/Branco/Nulo: 11% (-1) ❓ NS/NR: 2% (+1) ▶️ Cenário 5 🔴 Lula (PT): 47% (=) 🟡 Renan Santos (Missão): 39% (+1) ⚪️ Nenhum/Branco/Nulo: 13% (-1) ❓ NS/NR: 2% (+1) #Eleições2024 #Brasil #Voto

🗳️ QUAEST/GLOBO: No 2º turno, Lula (PT) e Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) empatam numericamente, com 41% cada. 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 41% (=) 🔴 Lula (PT): 41% (-1) ⚪️ Branco/Nulo/Não vai votar: 13% (=) ❓ Indecisos: 5% (+1) https://t.co/E9PkHhQb1V #Eleições2023 #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro