Dawisson Belém Lopes

Dawisson Belém Lopes said he had seen the content of the channel "Exército do Lula," managed by Janones, and evaluated that it was mainly an introduction to digital literacy, which, according to him, was lacking on the left. He considered the content legitimate and predicted that censorship would have no effect, as the seed had already been planted. #Lula #LetramentoDigital #LiberdadeDeExpressão (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes wrote that the Brazilian right — including the center-right and far-right — held 70% of both houses of the National Congress. In the federal Executive, according to him, the division between right and left tended to be 50% on each side. He asked if this scenario was remarkable. https://t.co/qOfvs40BHa #PolíticaBrasil #Direita #CongressoNacional (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes wrote that, despite what he called a day dedicated to demanding that the left learn a lesson, the influence of the far right had been growing since 2013-14 and had not retreated. He mentioned the National Congress and the global scenario and stated that Lula won in 2022 despite these circumstances. #Política #ExtremaDireita #Lula2022 (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes wrote that the significant voting support for the far right in parliaments and state governments could not be explained by Lula's absence in a TV debate nor by the subsequent actions of the TSE and the STF. For him, attributing a causal relationship to these factors was a convenient narrative that merely obscured the forces at work. #Lula #ExtremaDireita #PolíticaBrasil (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes summarized what was at stake in the second round: FB had finished the first round with 2.5 million more votes than Lula, while defeated candidates totaled 9 million. Lula would need to win about 6 million of those votes, or two-thirds, Lopes wrote, considering the mission extremely difficult and stating that climbing the Himalayas would be easy in comparison. He added that the competition was not over yet. #Eleições2023 #Brasil #Política (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes stated that he had not read and would not read the material, but criticized the title for, according to him, treating corruption as a national habit and doing a disservice to Brazil. He classified the speech as prejudiced and "mongrel" and said it pleased foreigners with a "white savior" complex. He also found the invitation made by the Economist senseless. https://t.co/oO5laEkWn7 #Corrupção #Brasil #Economist (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes wrote that someone might be underestimating or overestimating Flávio Bolsonaro. He said he preferred to believe in the polls from MDA and Datafolha, which, according to him, indicated an advantage of approximately 5 million votes for Lula in the first round. Lopes added that the alternative would be unpleasant and stated that it was not yet time to talk about the second round. #FlávioBolsonaro #Lula #Eleições2024 (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes stated that the discourse about a "judicial dictatorship" was not resonating and was an issue without appeal. According to him, as long as bolsonarism — including in the mainstream media — continued along this line, Lula's campaign would likely grow, unless the final goal was "outside the four lines." #Lula #Bolsonarismo #Justiça (translated)

In the simulation of the second round, Lula jumps from 42 to 48 percentage points (+6 pp), while FB rises from 38 to 45 percentage points (+7 pp). Among valid migrated votes, the distribution is 46%-54%. The Datafolha pattern remains unchanged. #Lula #Eleições2024 #Datafolha (translated)

The current electoral confrontation has transcended "class hatred" and turned into an existential fight, where the loser will be at the mercy of the winner. There is a serious risk of criminal accountability, as Vorcaro's phone shows. There are important people defending themselves with human shields (journalists). #Eleições2023 #ConflitoPolítico #LiberdadeDeImprensa (translated)

A imprensa bem que tentou jogar a boia de salvação e tratar a treta da maneira mais unidimensional possível ("notícia falsa"), mas Flavinho a recusou. Foi para cima da CNBB e fez jus à fama familiar de truculência. No fundo, onde se cheirava fumaça, é porque havia fogo. #jornalismo #notícias #política

5 pp de vantagem no 1o turno e 2 pp no 2o turno, numa pesquisa com "house effect" pró-FB, está de bom tamanho para Lula. A polêmica religiosa e a proibição de bets não apenas cauterizaram o crescimento do desafiante, mas trouxeram de volta votos para o incumbente. #Lula #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira