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"You can't spend 60% of your salary on rent." Although only red flags are waving, some of them splashed with the initials of the CNT, and the "working class" is proclaimed, those present know that the cross-cutting issue is that, "if things don't change," as Antonio states, "we will all be exposed to living a foreclosure." #ViviendaDigna #Desahucios #LuchaSocial (translated)

Magdiel Alves released numbers attributed to MDA/CNT according to which, in 2022, Lula had 48% and Jair Bolsonaro, 40%, while the result in the polls was 48% to 43%. For 2026, he indicated Lula with 49% and Flávio Bolsonaro with 44%. Alves said that this time, the data was weighted based on the 2022 vote, which would reduce the chances of error, and stated that Lula could win in the first round. #Lula #Eleições2026 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Fernando Holiday stated that the polls indicated a favorable wave for Flávio on the last day of campaigning. According to him, Flávio had risen 7 points in the CNT/MDA, 4 points in the Quaest, and 2 points in the Datafolha. Holiday also said that a qualitative poll by Quaest, conducted during the cancellation of the Globo debate, indicated that undecided voters understood that the STF tried to help Lula. In his assessment, Lula's flight could have turned against the candidate. Holiday estimated that Flávio would have 48% of the votes, Lula 46%, and the other candidates 6%. He added that he did not rule out the possibility of Flávio reaching 50.1% and winning in the first round. #Eleições2023 #Política #Flávio (translated)

Renato Souza released figures that he attributed to spontaneous polls for the first presidential round on October 3rd. According to the publication, CNT/MDA showed Lula with 48.6% and Flávio with 44.3%; Quaest showed Lula with 46.1% and Flávio with 42.1%; and Datafolha showed Lula with 46.5% and Flávio with 38.4%. #Eleições2022 #Pesquisa #Brasil (translated)

Renato Souza stated that the information claiming that polls showed an increase in Flávio Bolsonaro and a drop for Lula after the cancellation of a television debate was false. According to him, there was no evidence that the suspension of the event had changed the percentages of voting intention. Souza said that the CNT poll indicated an increase for Flávio Bolsonaro and a slight rise for Lula compared to 15 days earlier. #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBR #FakeNews (translated)

Renato Souza disclosed, on October 3, results of presidential polls on valid votes in the stimulated scenario. According to the numbers he presented, CNT/MDA recorded Lula with 47.8% and Flávio with 42.1%; Quaest, Lula with 46% and Flávio with 45%; Datafolha, Lula with 45% and Flávio with 42%; PoderData, Lula with 45% and Flávio with 43%; and Palver, Flávio with 47% and Lula with 43%. #Eleições2023 #Pesquisas #Lula (translated)

Alargolo stated that, according to the CNT/MDA, DataFolha, and Quaest polls, Lula had between 45% and 47.8% of valid votes. The author expressed his belief that the president's result would be this or even a percentage point higher, and he urged his supporters to remain mobilized, anticipating a victory. #Lula #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Puraingresia wrote that there was still time until the last minute of the next day to try for a historic victory for Lula in the first round. Referring to CNT, she stated that the candidate had increased from 47% to 47.8% of valid votes and said that there was little time left. She also asked for the call of the Yanomami women to be amplified, mentioning Hanna Limulja. https://t.co/J6pUqCM7FH #Eleições2023 #Democracia #Brasil (translated)

Renato Souza stated that the previous survey from CNT had been conducted 15 days prior and that the most recent result showed a significant increase for Flávio Bolsonaro. He also mentioned that, within the margin of error, Lula could win in the first round. According to Souza, CNT was the one that was most accurate in the elections of 2018 and 2022. #Pesquisa #Eleições2024 #Política (translated)

Renato Souza released numbers from the CNT/MDA research for president, considering valid votes: Lula (PT) had 47.8% (+1), Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), 42.1% (+7), Augusto Cury (Avante), 3.5% (-3), Caiado (PSD), 3.3% (=), Renan Santos (Missão), 1.6% (-1), and Romeu Zema (Novo), 0.8% (=). According to Souza, the survey was conducted between 30/09 and 2/10, with 2,007 interviews, and had the registration BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Votação #Brasil (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that the CNT survey reassured him and that its numbers were consistent with other polls. According to him, the survey indicated a ceiling of votes for Flávio and a higher rejection of him than of Lula. Garcia said that, as he had already predicted, the election would be defined by rejection and by the end of the 6x1 scale, which could be approved in the second round. #Eleições2024 #Política #Pesquisa (translated)

Barbara 13 stated that the surveys from CNT, Quaest, and Datafolha pointed to the same scenario: Lula was leading the first round with a five-point advantage and would win the second round. She concluded with a statement of support for number 13. #Lula #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Biazita Gomes stated that, in the stimulated first-round polls by CNT, Lula reached 48%. She said that, considering the margin of error of 2.2%, there would be, at the limit, a possibility of victory in the first round. She also argued that all progressives should vote and described the scenario as having a second round already in the first. #Lula #Eleições2024 #VoteConsciente (translated)

The Political Axis released the numbers from the CNT/MDA survey for the second round of the 2026 elections. In a scenario against Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), Lula (PT) had 47.3%, with no variation, and Bolsonaro, 43.1%, with a rise of 3.1 percentage points. Against the writer Augusto Cury (Avante), Lula appeared with 46.8%, an increase of 1.5 points, and Cury with 37.9%, a decrease of 0.5 points. In the scenario with Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Lula had 47.0%, an advance of 0.6 points, and Caiado, 37.3%, with no variation. Against Renan Santos (Mission), Lula recorded 48.1%, an increase of 0.8 points, and Santos, 34.3%, an advance of 0.4 points. Facing Zema (New), Lula had 49.2%, a rise of 1.5 points, and Zema, 34.2%, a decrease of 0.3 points. According to the publication, the survey interviewed 2,007 people in person between September 30 and October 2, with a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points. The registration at the TSE was BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Lula #Bolsonaro (translated)

JH Fonseca stated that Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) had advanced 7.6 points in the latest CNT/MDA poll, which he classified as leftist, and appeared with 38.0%, compared to 43.1% for Lula (PT), who had risen 2.6 points. He said that the trend could pave the way for a surprising victory and predicted a surprise for the following day. #Eleições2024 #Política #Brasil (translated)

The profile Pesquisas Eleições released data from the CNT/MDA survey, according to which 47.4% approved of President Lula and 49.2% disapproved; 3.4% did not know or did not respond. Compared to the previous survey, approval had risen by 1.5 points, while disapproval had decreased by 0.5 points, the profile reported. In the evaluation of the government, 35.3% considered it excellent or good, 41.1% bad or terrible, and 22.7% regular. Another 0.9% did not know or did not respond. The profile stated that evaluations of excellent or good had increased by 1.5 points and those of bad or terrible by 1.7 points, while the regular evaluation had dropped by 2.7 points. According to the technical note released, the survey was conducted by CNT/MDA from September 30 to October 2, 2026, with 2,002 interviews nationwide. The reported margin of error was ±2.2 percentage points, with a confidence level of 95%. The registration with the TSE was BR-04756/2026. #Lula #Aprovação #Governo (translated)

Julio Freiress wrote that the CNT/MDA survey indicated that Lula was 2.2% short of winning the election in the first round, scheduled for the following day. He also stated that, in a possible second round, Lula had a 5-point lead over Flávio Bolsonaro and was close to securing a fourth term. #Eleições2022 #Lula #Brasil (translated)

Research Elections reported that in a national survey by CNT/MDA on valid votes in the first round for president, Lula (PT) had 48.6% and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), 44.3%, a difference of 4.3 points. According to the publication, Flávio advanced 6.8 points and Lula receded 2.6. Augusto Cury (Avante) recorded 2.5%, Caiado (PSD), 2.4%, Renan Santos (Mission), 1.2%, Romeu Zema (Novo), 0.4%, and other candidates, 0.2%. The publication reported that the survey was conducted from September 30 to October 2, 2026, with 2,002 interviews, a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points, and a confidence level of 95%. The registration in the TSE was BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Votação #Presidencial (translated)