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GeoTales described a scenario where several agricultural regions would be simultaneously affected, while dam production would decrease, trade routes would be disrupted, and populations would experience exceptional heat. It specified that the term "super El Niño" referred to an episode of about +2 °C or more in the Niño 3.4 area, without constituting a universal category comparable to that of cyclones. According to GeoTales, the bulletin published on October 8 by the World Meteorological Organization forecasted an average anomaly of about +3.7 °C in this area for the period from October to December, with a peak around December. It also reported that NOAA assessed the probability of reaching at least +2.5 °C over three months at 83% according to its RONI index, mentioning an episode likely to exceed those observed since 1950. It emphasized that the two agencies used different methods, but their figures indicated an exceptionally intense event. GeoTales explained that observations showed increased heat beneath the surface of the Pacific, a deeper thermocline, as well as anomalies in westerly winds and precipitation in the central and eastern parts of the ocean. It reminded that El Niño is a natural phenomenon and estimated that it would be too simplistic to attribute this episode solely to climate change, while adding that background warming could exacerbate its consequences. To illustrate the possible impacts, GeoTales mentioned Guatemala, citing a video published the day before by LIMIT Media. It wrote that in the "dry corridor" that also crosses Honduras and El Salvador, the lack of rain and crop losses were already undermining the food and income of families relying on maize and bean cultivation. #ElNiño #ChangementClimatique #Météo (translated)

At the Livestock Summit this Thursday, October 9th, in Auvergne, the Minister of Agriculture Annie Genevard confirmed to them that the quota of wolves that individuals authorized by the prefectures to kill, mainly wolf hunters under the authority of OFB, will be raised "in the coming days" from 21 to 23% of the recorded population. #Loup #Élevage #Isère (translated)

The author revisited an April post, saying the gap in public understanding of large language model capabilities had widened and had become more like a “sharp funnel” than two groups talking past each other. They estimated that roughly 6 billion people, or about 75% of the population, had “barely come” to something; the post ended before completing that thought.

The author wrote that the gap in shared understanding of LLM capabilities was widening, shifting from people talking past one another to what they described as a “sharp funnel”. They estimated that around 6 billion people, or roughly 75% of the population, had “barely come”—but the post ended before completing the thought.

The author acknowledged that he was mistaken about the population trend in Gaza, which he said had slightly decreased in absolute terms since October 7, 2023. He added that this did not change, in his opinion, the essence of his argument: a war was not a genocide. He believed that the relevant question was not whether there was a genocide in Gaza, and then began to mention its origin without finishing his sentence. #Gaza #Guerre #Conflit #PS #IL #GZ (translated)

The Folle Histoire regretted that Mao did not settle the issue of the Kuomintang in 1949, believing that it would have simplified the current situation. According to the author, the party was no more commendable at that time than the Chinese communists, but it no longer ruled Taiwan, and Chiang Kai-shek died at the same time as Mao. The author added that Taiwan has since become a democracy to which its population seems attached and said he finds it hard to understand why some wish for its forced attachment to the People's Republic of China. He felt that this amounts to applying the principle of the right of peoples to self-determination in a variable manner. He also wrote that Taiwan has been a thorn in China's side since the 1950s and that the United States fully plays on this situation, while specifying that the relationships between Washington and Taipei are more complex. #Taïwan #Mao #Kuomintang (translated)

The author asked Amadou Ba to invite the fishermen to particularly follow the investigation commission on fishing licenses, while emphasizing that the issue concerned the entire population. He indicated that the hearings were most often conducted in the national language. (translated)

Nathalie Arthaud felt that Lecornu's announcements about fuel prices, made during the youth mobilization, showed that he was mainly afraid of the rebellion spreading to the entire working population. She called for them to show him that he was right to fear their anger. #Mobilisation #Carburant #Colère (translated)